Location analytics: Starbucks Coffee Vs. Dunkin’ Donuts

Coffee shop owners need to apply location intelligence techniques and foot traffic analytics to identify consumer mobility patterns, in order to maximize sales and generate more efficient expansion models.

The correlation between foot traffic visitation, sales, and the success of coffee shops franchises have been studied and proven, so the development of this type of analysis has become a priority in the site selection process and expansion modeling.

Case Study

Location analytics: Starbucks Coffee Vs. Dunkin’ Donuts Coral Springs, Florida, USA

At PREDIK Data-Driven we conducted a detailed study of two retail coffee shops in the estate of Florida, USA, Starbucks Coffee, and Dunkin’ Donuts, both located in the city of Coral Springs.

In this case study, we analyze the mobility and pedestrian traffic inside and outside both stores, in order to understand the behavioral patterns of consumers visiting both franchises. This analysis aims to answer the following questions:

How are visits distributed in each establishment?

Through location analytics, we identify the points of interest and apply a heat map to visualize the in-store mobility patterns of the clients, which allows us to visualize the customer journey, the dispersion of consumers, and the distribution of visits within both establishments.

This provides very useful information when conceptualizing the design of the infrastructure and internal architectural plans that make up each establishment so that leaders can implement strategies that improve the customer journey and implement more efficient expansion models while maximizing the shopping experience of consumers.

Which of the coffee shops is the most visited?

Percentage distribution of visits recorded between December 12, 2020, and January 22, 2021:

By analyzing in-store mobility using the stated time period, we identified that 51% chose to visit Dunkin’ Donuts, while the remaining 49% preferred Starbucks Coffee, which correlates with store location and consumer preference when it comes to choosing coffee shops products.

These analyses allow you to observe the evolution of visits over time, which can be very useful to identify patterns of foot traffic customer behavior and market trends in high and low traffic seasons.

Identify consumer behavior: Which days of the week are the most visited?

One of the most interesting applications of location intelligence is that it allows gaining detailed knowledge of customers’ behavior patterns by day, hour, month, or year, offering valuable insights to design marketing campaigns and commercial strategies based on the power hours of the coffee shops.

This analysis is very useful to know what is the performance of the stores at peak and off-peak hours of the day.

What is the foot traffic mobility pattern around both coffee shops?

Although foot traffic is related to the performance of any retail location, it is not the only key factor for success. Another fundamental aspect to be analyzed is the environment of the outlets, as it allows for comparisons and estimates of the number of visits, revenues, strategic and operational movements of the competition.

By gathering information on the competition’s potential customers, it is possible to carry out a more detailed benchmarking and generate strategies to capture the competition’s customers.

This analysis of the environment provides us with a detailed picture of the surrounding areas and the mobility patterns of people moving through the area. This data, combined with other factors, provides deep insight into predicting the revenues of any retail establishment.

What other insights can be gained by analyzing footfall at a coffee shop?

Understand which customers visited both coffee shops

By analyzing data over a given period of time at a specific location, such as a clothing store, it is possible to estimate the percentage distribution of consumers who visited both coffee shops.

These solutions benefit any type of business, an example of this is another case study that was conducted to compare two of the most popular home improvement stores in the city of Phoenix, Arizona, USA, the findings were more than interesting. Read more about this case: “Location analytics: Whole Foods Vs. Sprouts Farmers Market“ 

What are the benefits of footfall analytics and location intelligence?

These tools have revolutionized the way retailers implement the expansion, commercial and operational strategies in coffee shops.

Through these analytics, businesses gain a detailed picture of their establishment performance, while predicting or estimating:

By applying footfall analytics through spatial data mining, it is possible to collect valuable information such as:

  • Quantity and classification of people visiting an establishment or area of interest
  • Times and moments of the day where there are more visitors
  • Dwell time
  • Visitation count in-store and out-store
  • Market potential of POS and POI’s

Customer Analytics 

With this analysis, it’s possible to infer in which other places (stores, restaurants, shopping malls, residential areas, among others) the people who were at a point of interest also visited. Thus, Starbucks Coffee and Dunkin’ Donuts can analyze how their customers behave, since they can look where and how long they were before and after visiting the coffee shops.  

Identifying ideal areas in expansion and site selection strategies 

With mobility data, it’s possible to clearly understand the behavior of the people who pass through a given area, how they’re alike, their tastes, preferences, socioeconomic level, and purchasing potential. Including an in-depth analysis of the commercial establishments in the area in question, becomes a crucial factor in determining the best locations for the opening of new coffee shops. 

What is the revenue potential of my competitor? 

Through machine learning models, it’s possible to predict the revenue and visits of a competitors´ store. With these tools, Starbucks Coffee could get to estimate the revenue of its competitor Dunkin’ Donuts in a specific week, month, or year. These models can also be used, for instance, to predict the potential success of a coffee shop that is about to open.

All these insights are generated by applying location intelligence and mobility analysis, if you are interested in knowing more about these insights, we conducted a POI characterization case study of Zona Rosa in Mexico City.

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